National Housing Market Research Platform · 2025–2026

The Housing Crisis for
Adults with Autism & I/DD
Is Hiding in Plain Sight

An estimated 5.4 million adults in the U.S. are autistic. Another 7.4 million have an intellectual or developmental disability — and these populations significantly overlap.

The majority live with family caregivers. An estimated 1 in 3 adults with I/DD — roughly 2.5 million people — live with a family caregiver over age 60. And 1 in 31 children born today will be diagnosed with autism — a generation whose lifelong housing needs are not yet planned for.

Powered by the PORCH℠ Framework · A Front Porch Cohousing Initiative

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By the Numbers

The Scale of the Crisis

Sources: CDC ADDM Network (2025) · National Health Interview Survey · National Council on Disability · Caldwell & Gladstone / Brandeis Univ. (2025) · MACPAC (2024)

0
Adults with autism in the U.S.
CDC ADDM Network (2025)
0
Adults with I/DD in the U.S.
National Health Interview Survey
~0
Adults with I/DD living with a caregiver over 60
1 in 3 of the I/DD population · NCD / Caldwell & Gladstone (2025)
>0
On HCBS waiver waitlists nationally
Caldwell & Gladstone, Brandeis Univ. (2025)
0%
Homeownership rate among adults with I/DD
MACPAC (2024)
1 in 31
Children diagnosed with autism
CDC ADDM Network, April 2025 — up from 1 in 36 in 2020
1.1M
Autistic teens aging out in the next decade
Autism Society of America
52%
Want to live in a neuroinclusive planned community
First Place Global Housing Market Analyses (2025)
The Housing Gap

The School System Succeeded.
What Comes Next Has Not.

For decades, families have fought for and won strong special education systems, therapeutic services, and advocacy networks. But at age 21, those systems end. The community that surrounded a family's child since kindergarten dissolves. What fills the gap — group homes, state waitlists, and aging parents providing care indefinitely — is not a plan. It is a crisis deferred.

The Caregiver Cliff

An estimated 1 in 3 adults with I/DD — roughly 2.5 million people — live with a family caregiver over age 60. An additional 35% live with caregivers between ages 41 and 59, meaning the next wave of caregiver transitions is already forming. When that caregiver can no longer provide support, the result is too often emergency placement into ill-suited settings, not a home.

National Council on Disability · Caldwell & Gladstone, Brandeis Univ. (2025)

Aging Out with Nowhere to Go

Each year, tens of thousands of young adults with autism and I/DD age out of school-based services at 21. An estimated 1.1 million autistic teens will make this transition in the next decade alone. The adult service system — underfunded, waitlist-driven, and not designed for homeownership — is not ready for them.

Autism Society of America · CDC ADDM (2025)

A New Generation of Families

With 1 in 31 children now diagnosed with autism — up from 1 in 150 in 2000 — a new generation of families is receiving diagnoses they weren't expecting. These families are making housing decisions today that will define their child's life for thirty years. Most have no roadmap for what lifelong neuroinclusive housing looks like.

CDC ADDM Network (April 2025)
In the News

The Caregiver Cliff Is a National Story

News organizations across the country are beginning to cover what families have known for years: the housing system for adults with autism and I/DD is not prepared for the generation coming of age now.

"Disability advocates warn of the 'turning 22 cliff'" · April 2026

Who This Affects

Four Populations.
One Unmet Need.

The housing crisis for adults with autism and I/DD is not one story — it is four converging ones, each with its own urgency and its own timeline. Neuroinclusive Planned Communities built around homeownership and equity are the answer to all four.

Pathway 1
Aging Out
Ages 18–25

The Post-Graduation Cliff

Young adults with autism and I/DD age out of school-based services at 21. The community that surrounded them since kindergarten dissolves overnight. Transitional rental housing — like the model offered by Meridian Living — provides the first rung. But the goal is ownership: a home in a Neuroinclusive Planned Community where the transition from school to adult life is a continuation, not a cliff.

Transitional Rental → Coliving Ownership1.1M autistic teens aging out this decade
Pathway 2
Aging Parents
Adults 25–55+

The Caregiver Cliff

Nearly one million adults with A/IDD live with a caregiver over age 60 — most with no formal housing plan beyond "they'll stay with siblings" or "we'll figure it out." When that caregiver can no longer provide support, the result is too often emergency placement, not a home. A Neuroinclusive Planned Community provides the plan that aging parents need to put in place today — while they still can.

Coliving or Cohousing Ownership~1M households with caregiver 60+
Pathway 3
Younger Families
Children 0–18

The Thirty-Year Decision

With 1 in 31 children now diagnosed with autism, a new generation of families is receiving diagnoses they weren't expecting. These families are making housing decisions today that will define their child's life for thirty years. The choice to join a lifelong Neuroinclusive Planned Community early is not just a housing decision — it is a decision to ensure that the community your child will need at 25 can be built in the same place they are growing up today.

Early-Entry Family Equity Path1 in 31 children diagnosed — CDC (2025)
Pathway 4
The Lifelong Continuum
Adults 55+

Planning for Neuroinclusive Senior Living

Adults with autism and I/DD are living longer than ever — and as they age, their support needs change. Research shows that adults with Down syndrome face a significantly elevated risk of early-onset Alzheimer's, and autistic adults experience higher rates of co-occurring conditions that intensify with age. Today's senior living models — like Ann's Choice and Bridges at Warwick in the Philadelphia region — were not designed for this population. We are planning for a neuroinclusive senior living model now: one where residents can transition from Coliving or Cohousing ownership into a care-supported environment, using the equity they've built to fund the next chapter — without a Medicaid spend-down or a family crisis.

Equity Exit → Neuroinclusive Senior LivingAdults with DS: 65–80% Alzheimer's risk by age 65

Alzheimer's Association · National Task Group on Intellectual Disabilities and Dementia Practices (NTG)

"The neighborhood your child will need at twenty-five can be built today — in the same place you are already choosing for kindergarten."

Front Porch Cohousing · Strategy Brief: The Younger Family Pathway (2026)

Our Research

State-by-State Housing
Market Intelligence

Each state study applies the same rigorous PESTEL + SWOT + PORCH℠ methodology, producing comparable, citable data that funders, policymakers, and developers can act on.

PA
Pennsylvania
Live ✓

Full PESTEL + SWOT + PORCH℠ analysis across 8 regions and 67 counties. Philadelphia/Lehigh Valley region fully published.

8 Regions67 Counties7,663 on waitlist
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NJ
New Jersey
Coming Soon

Research forthcoming. Interested in sponsoring this region?

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OH
Ohio
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NY
New York
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MD
Maryland
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VA
Virginia
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Interested in sponsoring research for your state or region? Contact us →

About This Platform

The PORCH℠ Framework:
Research That Drives Action

The Neuro Housing Study is a national housing market research platform produced by Front Porch Cohousing and powered by its PORCH℠ Framework — a licensed methodology for building Neuroinclusive Planned Communities that prioritize homeownership and equity for adults with autism and I/DD.

Each state study applies PESTEL + SWOT analysis to the local housing market, producing data that funders, policymakers, developers, and families can use to understand the gap — and build toward closing it.

P
Political
Policy environment, funding streams, and regulatory landscape
O
Opportunity
Market gaps, unmet demand, and homeownership pathways
R
Regional
County-level data, waitlists, and local market conditions
C
Community
Neuroinclusive design, mixed-ability neighborhoods, and belonging
H
Housing
Supply, affordability, equity-building, and lifelong planning
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